Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.232596 0.263920 0.297402 0.335797 0.378551 0.424635 0.478010
2025-10-05 0.192098 0.234350 0.282406 0.340903 0.409969 0.488689 0.584968
2025-10-12 0.165409 0.214811 0.274065 0.349924 0.443969 0.556197 0.699677
2025-10-19 0.142465 0.195781 0.262856 0.352662 0.468870 0.613187 0.804859
2025-10-26 0.126608 0.183098 0.257271 0.360607 0.499447 0.677957 0.922959
2025-11-02 0.114542 0.173568 0.254148 0.370501 0.532177 0.746532 1.049357
2025-11-09 0.100920 0.159984 0.243685 0.368740 0.548112 0.792877 1.148092
2025-11-16 0.089824 0.148584 0.234826 0.367832 0.564282 0.839520 1.248873
2025-11-23 0.080240 0.138241 0.226255 0.366123 0.578462 0.883360 1.347231
2025-11-30 0.074327 0.132896 0.224501 0.374062 0.606769 0.948300 1.478447
2025-12-07 0.067425 0.125116 0.218108 0.374045 0.622608 0.995294 1.585216
2025-12-14 0.061372 0.118051 0.212104 0.373905 0.637814 1.041594 1.692609
2025-12-21 0.055815 0.111404 0.206426 0.374199 0.654280 1.091604 1.809803
2025-12-28 0.051916 0.107287 0.204605 0.380640 0.680901 1.158590 1.956435
2026-01-04 0.049029 0.104709 0.205168 0.391050 0.714524 1.238151 2.126467
2026-01-11 0.045355 0.100201 0.201849 0.394326 0.736150 1.299257 2.269645
2026-01-18 0.042815 0.097626 0.201775 0.403243 0.767777 1.377999 2.444721
2026-01-25 0.040756 0.095787 0.202871 0.414252 0.803524 1.465052 2.637057
2026-02-01 0.037331 0.090699 0.197281 0.412350 0.816037 1.513288 2.766471
2026-02-08 0.034346 0.086203 0.192420 0.411371 0.829962 1.564309 2.902443
2026-02-15 0.031556 0.081803 0.187336 0.409496 0.841950 1.612258 3.034851
2026-02-22 0.030046 0.080138 0.187685 0.418275 0.874224 1.697155 3.234602
2026-03-01 0.027852 0.076615 0.183824 0.418260 0.889646 1.752473 3.384381